Utah St.
Mountain West
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+10.3#42
Expected Predictive Rating+11.0#38
Pace67.3#231
Improvement-1.7#251

Offense
Total Offense+5.2#48
First Shot+3.8#60
After Offensive Rebound+1.4#75
Layup/Dunks+4.4#32
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#316
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#235
Freethrows+3.7#8
Improvement-0.3#191

Defense
Total Defense+5.1#53
First Shot+2.8#84
After Offensive Rebounds+2.3#11
Layups/Dunks+1.6#106
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#121
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#281
Freethrows+2.4#29
Improvement-1.4#255
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 10.9 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round40.6% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen15.3% n/a n/a
Elite Eight4.8% n/a n/a
Final Four1.6% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.5% n/a n/a
National Champion0.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 11 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 41 - 4
Quad 1b2 - 03 - 4
Quad 22 - 25 - 6
Quad 37 - 212 - 8
Quad 412 - 024 - 8


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 239   Montana St. W 81-73 94%     1 - 0 +0.7 +2.4 -2.1
  Nov 08, 2019 275   Weber St. W 89-34 96%     2 - 0 +45.6 +16.7 +32.6
  Nov 12, 2019 311   Denver W 97-56 97%     3 - 0 +29.5 +15.4 +12.4
  Nov 15, 2019 284   N.C. A&T W 81-54 96%     4 - 0 +17.1 +6.1 +11.0
  Nov 18, 2019 207   Texas San Antonio W 82-50 92%     5 - 0 +26.6 -1.5 +25.9
  Nov 22, 2019 36   LSU W 80-78 46%     6 - 0 +13.3 +3.2 +9.9
  Nov 24, 2019 85   North Texas W 68-59 66%     7 - 0 +15.2 -1.4 +16.9
  Nov 29, 2019 43   @ St. Mary's L 73-81 39%     7 - 1 +5.2 +3.9 +1.4
  Dec 04, 2019 299   @ San Jose St. W 71-59 91%     8 - 1 1 - 0 +7.2 +0.3 +7.7
  Dec 07, 2019 152   Fresno St. W 77-70 OT 87%     9 - 1 2 - 0 +4.9 -4.9 +9.3
  Dec 14, 2019 22   BYU L 64-68 37%     9 - 2 +9.6 +1.0 +8.3
  Dec 18, 2019 115   South Florida W 76-74 OT 73%     10 - 2 +5.9 +7.8 -1.9
  Dec 21, 2019 32   Florida W 65-62 43%     11 - 2 +15.2 +0.2 +15.1
  Jan 01, 2020 97   @ UNLV L 53-70 58%     11 - 3 2 - 1 -8.8 -15.0 +5.7
  Jan 04, 2020 7   San Diego St. L 68-77 40%     11 - 4 2 - 2 +3.8 +3.6 +0.0
  Jan 07, 2020 191   @ Air Force L 60-79 80%     11 - 5 2 - 3 -17.6 -15.3 -2.6
  Jan 11, 2020 80   Nevada W 80-70 74%     12 - 5 3 - 3 +13.6 +7.1 +6.5
  Jan 18, 2020 77   @ Boise St. L 83-88 OT 52%     12 - 6 3 - 4 +4.8 +3.6 +1.9
  Jan 21, 2020 191   Air Force W 72-47 91%     13 - 6 4 - 4 +20.4 -4.5 +25.8
  Jan 25, 2020 101   Colorado St. W 77-61 79%     14 - 6 5 - 4 +17.9 +9.6 +9.7
  Jan 28, 2020 227   @ Wyoming W 68-45 85%     15 - 6 6 - 4 +22.2 +10.7 +15.8
  Feb 01, 2020 7   @ San Diego St. L 68-80 21%     15 - 7 6 - 5 +6.9 +12.0 -6.5
  Feb 05, 2020 97   UNLV W 69-54 78%     16 - 7 7 - 5 +17.2 +0.2 +17.8
  Feb 08, 2020 77   Boise St. W 70-61 74%     17 - 7 8 - 5 +12.8 +1.5 +11.6
  Feb 11, 2020 101   @ Colorado St. W 75-72 59%     18 - 7 9 - 5 +11.0 +12.5 -1.2
  Feb 15, 2020 152   @ Fresno St. W 71-59 73%     19 - 7 10 - 5 +16.0 +6.8 +10.6
  Feb 19, 2020 227   Wyoming W 78-58 94%     20 - 7 11 - 5 +13.2 +2.6 +9.9
  Feb 25, 2020 299   San Jose St. W 94-56 96%     21 - 7 12 - 5 +27.2 +5.2 +17.7
  Feb 29, 2020 139   @ New Mexico L 64-66 70%     21 - 8 12 - 6 +2.9 -0.3 +2.9
  Mar 05, 2020 139   New Mexico W 75-70 79%     22 - 8 +6.9 +0.5 +6.3
  Mar 06, 2020 227   Wyoming W 89-82 90%     23 - 8 +3.2 +15.8 -12.8
  Mar 07, 2020 7   San Diego St. W 59-56 30%     24 - 8 +18.9 +2.8 +16.5
Projected Record 24 - 8 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.6 2.8 18.5 61.5 16.5
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.6 2.8 18.5 61.5 16.5